Eredivisie · Matchweek 4

FC Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 28 Aug, 19:00 (BST)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Groningen win52%
Draw19%
Fortuna Sittard win28%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
79%
Under 2.5 goals
21%
BTTS yes
76%
Over 1.5 goals
92%
Over 3.5 goals
61%
BTTS no
24%
Expected goals
2.45 – 1.79

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–17.7%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 1–16.3%
  • 3–16.3%
  • 1–25.7%
  • 3–25.7%
  • 2–04.3%
  • 2–34.1%

Team comparison

StatisticFC GroningenFortuna Sittard
Matches played65
Points per match1.331.80
Goals per match2.171.60
Goals conceded per match2.002.20
Home / away goals scored77
Home / away goals conceded54
Last 5 points59
Last 5 goals scored98
Last 5 goals conceded1111
Win percentage33%60%

FC Groningen recent form

LLDDW

Fortuna Sittard recent form

LWWLW

Recent form

FC Groningen

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat PSV1–5
  • Wat ADO Den Haag4–1
  • Wat Heracles Almelo2–1
  • Wvs NEC2–1
  • Lvs SBV Excelsior2–3

Fortuna Sittard

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lvs AZ0–2
  • Lat FC Utrecht0–2
  • Wvs PEC Zwolle3–2
  • Lvs Feyenoord Rotterdam1–2
  • Lat SC Heerenveen1–2

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Fri 28 Aug, 19:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 28 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.