Eredivisie · Matchweek 5

FC Groningen vs FC Twente '65 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 6 Sept, 11:15 (BST)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Groningen win14%
Draw13%
FC Twente '65 win74%
Predicted score
1–3
Over 2.5 goals
90%
Under 2.5 goals
10%
BTTS yes
79%
Over 1.5 goals
97%
Over 3.5 goals
78%
BTTS no
21%
Expected goals
1.68 – 3.68

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

FC Twente '65 have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. FC Twente '65 arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–36.6%
  • 1–46.1%
  • 2–35.6%
  • 1–25.4%
  • 2–45.1%
  • 2–24.5%
  • 1–54.5%
  • 0–33.9%

Team comparison

StatisticFC GroningenFC Twente '65
Matches played66
Points per match1.332.67
Goals per match2.172.50
Goals conceded per match2.001.00
Home / away goals scored76
Home / away goals conceded53
Last 5 points513
Last 5 goals scored912
Last 5 goals conceded115
Win percentage33%83%

FC Groningen recent form

LLDDW

FC Twente '65 recent form

WDWWW

Recent form

FC Groningen

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lvs Fortuna Sittard2–3
  • Lat PSV1–5
  • Wat ADO Den Haag4–1
  • Wat Heracles Almelo2–1
  • Wvs NEC2–1

FC Twente '65

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 9 conceded

  • Wat SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden4–1
  • Wvs PEC Zwolle3–1
  • Lat PSV1–5
  • Wvs Sparta Rotterdam4–0
  • Dat AZ2–2

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 6 Sept, 11:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 6 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.