Primeira Liga · Matchweek 4

FC Famalicão vs Gil Vicente FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 30 Aug, 20:30 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Famalicão win20%
Draw21%
Gil Vicente FC win59%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Under 2.5 goals
40%
BTTS yes
58%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Over 3.5 goals
38%
BTTS no
42%
Expected goals
1.09 – 2.03

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

FC Famalicão have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Gil Vicente FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Gil Vicente FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.9%
  • 1–19.8%
  • 0–29.1%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 1–36.7%
  • 0–36.2%
  • 2–25.4%
  • 2–15.3%

Team comparison

StatisticFC FamalicãoGil Vicente FC
Matches played65
Points per match1.001.00
Goals per match1.330.80
Goals conceded per match1.001.00
Home / away goals scored21
Home / away goals conceded33
Last 5 points65
Last 5 goals scored74
Last 5 goals conceded45
Win percentage17%20%

FC Famalicão recent form

LDDDW

Gil Vicente FC recent form

WDLLD

Recent form

FC Famalicão

0W 0D 2L in the last 2 · 1 scored, 3 conceded

  • Lat CD Santa Clara0–1
  • Lvs CS Marítimo1–2

Gil Vicente FC

1W 0D 0L in the last 1 · 2 scored, 0 conceded

  • Wvs Casa Pia AC2–0

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 30 Aug, 20:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 30 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.