Bundesliga · Matchweek 8

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 (GMT+0)
Kick-off (local)
Sat 31 Oct, 18:30 (CET)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
Munich, Germany

United Matchday prediction

Bayern Munich win71%
Draw15%
Borussia Dortmund win14%
Predicted score
3–1
Over 2.5 goals
82%
Under 2.5 goals
18%
BTTS yes
71%
Over 1.5 goals
94%
Over 3.5 goals
65%
BTTS no
29%
Expected goals
3.06 – 1.38

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Bayern Munich's home scoring output above the Bundesliga average. Borussia Dortmund have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Borussia Dortmund's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 3–17.8%
  • 2–17.6%
  • 4–16.0%
  • 3–05.6%
  • 2–05.5%
  • 3–25.4%
  • 2–25.3%
  • 1–15.0%

Team comparison

StatisticBayern MunichBorussia Dortmund
Matches played55
Points per match2.202.60
Goals per match3.202.20
Goals conceded per match0.800.80
Home / away goals scored124
Home / away goals conceded12
Last 5 points1113
Last 5 goals scored1611
Last 5 goals conceded44
Win percentage60%80%

Bayern Munich recent form

WDWWD

Borussia Dortmund recent form

WWWWD

Recent form

Bayern Munich

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 16 scored, 3 conceded

  • Dat FC Augsburg2–2
  • Wvs 1. FC Union Berlin7–0
  • Wat SV 07 Elversberg2–1
  • Wvs FK Bodø/Glimt5–0
  • Dat FC Schalke 040–0

Borussia Dortmund

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dvs SV Werder Bremen2–2
  • Wat VfB Stuttgart1–0
  • Wvs SC Paderborn 073–0
  • Wvs Villarreal CF3–2
  • Wat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 10 October 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
554
1X2 accuracy
46.8%
BTTS accuracy
56.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.5%
Exact score
11.0%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.