Primeira Liga
Sporting Clube de Braga vs Sporting Clube de Portugal
Home
29%
Draw
28%
Away
43%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 2
FC Arouca vs Moreirense FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 16 Aug, 18:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
FC Arouca win43%
Draw20%
Moreirense FC win37%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 78%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 22%
- BTTS yes
- 76%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 92%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 60%
- BTTS no
- 24%
- Expected goals
- 2.16 – 2.00
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–27.3%
- 2–17.3%
- 1–16.7%
- 1–26.7%
- 3–15.2%
- 3–25.2%
- 2–34.9%
- 1–34.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | FC Arouca | Moreirense FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.17 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 33% |
FC Arouca recent form
LWDLD
Moreirense FC recent form
WLLWD
Recent form
FC Arouca
No recent completed fixtures on record.
Moreirense FC
No recent completed fixtures on record.
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 16 Aug, 18:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
49%
Draw
20%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 74%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.