Primeira Liga
Sporting Clube de Braga vs Sporting Clube de Portugal
Home
29%
Draw
28%
Away
43%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 4
FC Arouca vs CS Marítimo Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 29 Aug, 15:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
FC Arouca win51%
Draw22%
CS Marítimo win28%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 33%
- BTTS yes
- 66%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 86%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 45%
- BTTS no
- 34%
- Expected goals
- 2.00 – 1.43
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
FC Arouca have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. FC Arouca's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. CS Marítimo arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.3%
- 1–19.3%
- 2–26.6%
- 1–26.6%
- 2–06.5%
- 1–06.5%
- 3–16.2%
- 0–14.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | FC Arouca | CS Marítimo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.33 | 0.83 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 2 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 11 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 17% |
FC Arouca recent form
LWDLD
CS Marítimo recent form
DLLLD
Recent form
FC Arouca
1W 0D 1L in the last 2 · 4 scored, 2 conceded
- Lat FC Porto0–2
- Wvs Moreirense FC4–0
CS Marítimo
1W 1D 0L in the last 2 · 4 scored, 3 conceded
- Dvs Académico de Viseu FC2–2
- Wat FC Famalicão2–1
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 29 Aug, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 29 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
49%
Draw
20%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 74%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.