Primeira Liga · Matchweek 2

FC Alverca vs CF Estrela da Amadora Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 15 Aug, 15:30 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Alverca win43%
Draw20%
CF Estrela da Amadora win37%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
78%
Under 2.5 goals
22%
BTTS yes
76%
Over 1.5 goals
92%
Over 3.5 goals
60%
BTTS no
24%
Expected goals
2.16 – 2.00

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–27.3%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 1–16.7%
  • 1–26.7%
  • 3–15.2%
  • 3–25.2%
  • 2–34.9%
  • 1–34.5%

Team comparison

StatisticFC AlvercaCF Estrela da Amadora
Matches played55
Points per match1.401.60
Goals per match1.402.00
Goals conceded per match1.402.00
Home / away goals scored36
Home / away goals conceded35
Last 5 points78
Last 5 goals scored710
Last 5 goals conceded710
Win percentage40%40%

FC Alverca recent form

LDLWW

CF Estrela da Amadora recent form

WDWDL

Recent form

FC Alverca

No recent completed fixtures on record.

CF Estrela da Amadora

No recent completed fixtures on record.

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 15 Aug, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.