Primeira Liga · Matchweek 4

FC Alverca vs CD Santa Clara Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 29 Aug, 15:30 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Alverca win26%
Draw23%
CD Santa Clara win52%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Under 2.5 goals
40%
BTTS yes
60%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Over 3.5 goals
37%
BTTS no
40%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.85

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. CD Santa Clara arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.4%
  • 1–29.7%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 0–27.8%
  • 2–16.5%
  • 2–26.0%
  • 1–36.0%
  • 1–05.6%

Team comparison

StatisticFC AlvercaCD Santa Clara
Matches played56
Points per match1.402.00
Goals per match1.401.67
Goals conceded per match1.400.67
Home / away goals scored33
Home / away goals conceded32
Last 5 points711
Last 5 goals scored78
Last 5 goals conceded72
Win percentage40%50%

FC Alverca recent form

LDLWW

CD Santa Clara recent form

WDWWD

Recent form

FC Alverca

0W 0D 1L in the last 1 · 1 scored, 3 conceded

  • Lat Sporting Clube de Portugal1–3

CD Santa Clara

1W 1D 0L in the last 2 · 3 scored, 2 conceded

  • Wvs FC Famalicão1–0
  • Dvs CD Nacional2–2

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 29 Aug, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 29 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.