Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 5
Everton FC vs Ipswich Town FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, England
United Matchday prediction
Everton FC win58%
Draw19%
Ipswich Town FC win23%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 75%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 25%
- BTTS yes
- 71%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 90%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 55%
- BTTS no
- 29%
- Expected goals
- 2.42 – 1.50
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Ipswich Town FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. Ipswich Town FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.7%
- 1–17.2%
- 3–17.0%
- 2–26.5%
- 2–05.8%
- 1–25.4%
- 3–25.3%
- 1–04.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Everton FC | Ipswich Town FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.10 |
| Goals per match | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 8 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 13 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 30% |
Everton FC recent form
DLLWW
Ipswich Town FC recent form
WLDDL
Recent form
Everton FC
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 4 conceded
- Dat Tottenham Hotspur FC0–0
- Dvs Manchester United FC2–2
- Dat AFC Bournemouth1–1
- Wvs Crystal Palace FC2–0
- Lat Tottenham Hotspur FC0–1
Ipswich Town FC
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 10 conceded
- Wat Crystal Palace FC3–2
- Lvs Liverpool FC0–2
- Lat Manchester United FC2–5
- Wvs Sunderland AFC2–1
- Wvs Queens Park Rangers FC3–0
Team news
Everton FC
- Everton 3-1 Coventry: Thierno Barry gets two goals and an assist in comeback win as Coventry see three VAR inc
- Barry leads Everton comeback win vs Coventry - who suffer triple VAR woe
- Everton: David Moyes tight-lipped over Jack Grealish’s absence from Everton squad
- Everton forced to move EFL Cup tie at short notice
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Premier League
Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 43%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.