Premier League · Matchweek 5

Everton FC vs Ipswich Town FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, England

United Matchday prediction

Everton FC win58%
Draw19%
Ipswich Town FC win23%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
75%
Under 2.5 goals
25%
BTTS yes
71%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
Over 3.5 goals
55%
BTTS no
29%
Expected goals
2.42 – 1.50

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Ipswich Town FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. Ipswich Town FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–18.7%
  • 1–17.2%
  • 3–17.0%
  • 2–26.5%
  • 2–05.8%
  • 1–25.4%
  • 3–25.3%
  • 1–04.8%

Team comparison

StatisticEverton FCIpswich Town FC
Matches played55
Points per match1.801.20
Goals per match1.201.40
Goals conceded per match0.602.20
Home / away goals scored55
Home / away goals conceded28
Last 5 points96
Last 5 goals scored67
Last 5 goals conceded311
Win percentage40%40%

Everton FC recent form

WDDDW

Ipswich Town FC recent form

WLLWL

Recent form

Everton FC

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dat Tottenham Hotspur FC0–0
  • Dvs Manchester United FC2–2
  • Dat AFC Bournemouth1–1
  • Wvs Crystal Palace FC2–0
  • Lat Tottenham Hotspur FC0–1

Ipswich Town FC

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 10 conceded

  • Wat Crystal Palace FC3–2
  • Lvs Liverpool FC0–2
  • Lat Manchester United FC2–5
  • Wvs Sunderland AFC2–1
  • Wvs Queens Park Rangers FC3–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.