Premier League
Manchester United FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC
Home
69%
Draw
20%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 52%BTTS: 44%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 7
Everton FC vs Chelsea FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, England
United Matchday prediction
Everton FC win60%
Draw21%
Chelsea FC win19%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS yes
- 59%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 83%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 40%
- BTTS no
- 41%
- Expected goals
- 2.10 – 1.11
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against Chelsea FC, who have shipped goals above the Premier League average on the road. Everton FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Everton FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.4%
- 2–08.9%
- 1–08.5%
- 3–16.9%
- 3–06.2%
- 2–25.5%
- 1–25.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Everton FC | Chelsea FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 40% |
Everton FC recent form
WDDDW
Chelsea FC recent form
WWLDL
Recent form
Everton FC
2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 3 conceded
- Wvs Ipswich Town FC1–0
- Dat Tottenham Hotspur FC0–0
- Dvs Manchester United FC2–2
- Dat AFC Bournemouth1–1
- Wvs Crystal Palace FC2–0
Chelsea FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 12 conceded
- Lat Brentford FC0–3
- Dvs Hull City AFC2–2
- Lat Arsenal FC1–2
- Wvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC4–3
- Wat Fulham FC3–2
Team news
Everton FC
Chelsea FC
- Premier League: 10 things to look out for this weekend
- Transfer rumors, news: Chelsea join race to sign Monaco's Camara
- Lamine Camara: Monaco pull out of selling midfielder to Chelsea in £47m deal after Blues agreed deal for Enzo
- ‘A great feeling’: Mykhailo Mudryk seals loan move from Chelsea to Tottenham
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
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Coventry City FC vs Newcastle United FC
Home
16%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 55%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Leeds United FC vs Manchester United FC
Home
53%
Draw
24%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 51%
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Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace FC
Home
75%
Draw
15%
Away
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- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 67%BTTS: 52%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.