Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC Prediction

United Matchday prediction

Predicted score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

52%

Under 2.5 goals

48%

BTTS yes

56%

Over 1.5 goals

76%

Over 3.5 goals

30%

BTTS no

44%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.32

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Swansea City AFC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

• 1–112.1%
• 1–09.1%
• 2–18.6%
• 0–18.5%
• 1–28.0%
• 2–06.5%
• 0–06.4%
• 2–25.7%

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions