Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 2
Derby County FC vs Cardiff City FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 22 Aug, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Derby County FC win42%
Draw26%
Cardiff City FC win32%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 50%
- BTTS yes
- 54%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 75%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 28%
- BTTS no
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 1.45 – 1.22
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.5%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–07.3%
- 0–06.9%
- 2–25.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Derby County FC | Cardiff City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 8 |
| Points per match | 0.71 | 0.88 |
| Goals per match | 0.86 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.71 | 1.50 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 8 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 14% | 13% |
Derby County FC recent form
WLLLD
Cardiff City FC recent form
LLDLW
Recent form
Derby County FC
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 8 conceded
- Lvs Sheffield United FC1–2
- Wat Queens Park Rangers FC3–2
- Lat Norwich City FC1–2
- Wvs Oxford United FC1–0
- Lat Southampton FC1–2
Cardiff City FC
0W 1D 0L in the last 1 · 1 scored, 1 conceded
- Dvs Wrexham AFC1–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC
Home
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Draw
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Away
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Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.