Championship · Matchweek 2

Derby County FC vs Cardiff City FC Prediction

United Matchday prediction

Derby County FC win42%
Draw26%
Cardiff City FC win32%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
BTTS yes
54%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Over 3.5 goals
28%
BTTS no
46%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.22

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.2%
  • 1010.0%
  • 218.9%
  • 018.5%
  • 127.5%
  • 207.3%
  • 006.9%
  • 225.4%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.