Primeira Liga · Matchweek 5

CS Marítimo vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 5 Sept, 18:00 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

CS Marítimo win11%
Draw13%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica win76%
Predicted score
1–3
Over 2.5 goals
83%
Under 2.5 goals
17%
BTTS yes
69%
Over 1.5 goals
94%
Over 3.5 goals
67%
BTTS no
31%
Expected goals
1.28 – 3.30

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour CS Marítimo, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Sport Lisboa e Benfica have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Sport Lisboa e Benfica's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–37.9%
  • 1–27.2%
  • 1–46.5%
  • 0–36.2%
  • 0–25.6%
  • 0–45.1%
  • 2–35.1%
  • 2–24.6%

Team comparison

StatisticCS MarítimoSport Lisboa e Benfica
Matches played66
Points per match0.832.50
Goals per match1.173.33
Goals conceded per match2.000.83
Home / away goals scored215
Home / away goals conceded53
Last 5 points212
Last 5 goals scored513
Last 5 goals conceded115
Win percentage17%83%

CS Marítimo recent form

DLLLD

Sport Lisboa e Benfica recent form

WWWWL

Recent form

CS Marítimo

1W 1D 1L in the last 3 · 5 scored, 5 conceded

  • Lat FC Arouca1–2
  • Dvs Académico de Viseu FC2–2
  • Wat FC Famalicão2–1

Sport Lisboa e Benfica

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wvs GD Estoril Praia2–1
  • Wat Casa Pia AC7–0
  • Lat Real Madrid1–2
  • Lvs Real Madrid0–1
  • Wvs Real Madrid4–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Sept, 18:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.