Premier League · Matchweek 6

Crystal Palace FC vs Nottingham Forest FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 6
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Crystal Palace FC win24%
Draw20%
Nottingham Forest FC win56%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
69%
Under 2.5 goals
31%
BTTS yes
66%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
Over 3.5 goals
47%
BTTS no
34%
Expected goals
1.36 – 2.18

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.4%
  • 1–18.6%
  • 0–26.9%
  • 1–36.8%
  • 2–26.4%
  • 0–16.3%
  • 2–15.9%
  • 0–35.0%

Team comparison

StatisticCrystal Palace FCNottingham Forest FC
Matches played55
Points per match0.801.00
Goals per match1.200.80
Goals conceded per match2.201.00
Home / away goals scored34
Home / away goals conceded73
Last 5 points45
Last 5 goals scored64
Last 5 goals conceded115
Win percentage20%20%

Crystal Palace FC recent form

LLWLD

Nottingham Forest FC recent form

LDDWL

Recent form

Crystal Palace FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 11 conceded

  • Dat Leeds United FC0–0
  • Lvs Ipswich Town FC2–3
  • Wat Fulham FC3–2
  • Lvs Manchester City FC1–4
  • Lat Everton FC0–2

Nottingham Forest FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 5 conceded

  • Lvs Coventry City FC0–1
  • Wat Aston Villa FC2–1
  • Dvs Tottenham Hotspur FC0–0
  • Dat Liverpool FC2–2
  • Lvs Leeds United FC0–1

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.