Premier League · Matchweek 4

Crystal Palace FC vs Ipswich Town FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Crystal Palace FC win41%
Draw20%
Ipswich Town FC win39%
Predicted score
2–2
Over 2.5 goals
82%
Under 2.5 goals
18%
BTTS yes
79%
Over 1.5 goals
94%
Over 3.5 goals
65%
BTTS no
21%
Expected goals
2.24 – 2.20

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Away defensive numbers work against Ipswich Town FC, who have shipped goals above the Premier League average on the road. Ipswich Town FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–27.2%
  • 2–16.5%
  • 1–26.4%
  • 1–15.8%
  • 3–25.3%
  • 2–35.3%
  • 3–14.9%
  • 1–34.7%

Team comparison

StatisticCrystal Palace FCIpswich Town FC
Matches played55
Points per match0.801.20
Goals per match1.201.40
Goals conceded per match2.202.20
Home / away goals scored35
Home / away goals conceded78
Last 5 points46
Last 5 goals scored67
Last 5 goals conceded1111
Win percentage20%40%

Crystal Palace FC recent form

LLWLD

Ipswich Town FC recent form

WLLWL

Recent form

Crystal Palace FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 12 conceded

  • Wat Fulham FC3–2
  • Lvs Manchester City FC1–4
  • Lat Everton FC0–2
  • Lvs Arsenal FC1–2
  • Dat Brentford FC2–2

Ipswich Town FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lvs Liverpool FC0–2
  • Lat Manchester United FC2–5
  • Wvs Sunderland AFC2–1
  • Wvs Queens Park Rangers FC3–0
  • Dat Southampton FC2–2

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.