Premier League · Matchweek 4

Coventry City FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 13 Sept, 14:00 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Coventry City FC win26%
Draw23%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win51%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Under 2.5 goals
41%
BTTS yes
60%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Over 3.5 goals
37%
BTTS no
40%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.82

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Coventry City FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Brighton & Hove Albion FC, who have shipped goals above the Premier League average on the road. Brighton & Hove Albion FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.6%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–18.5%
  • 0–27.8%
  • 2–16.6%
  • 2–26.0%
  • 1–35.8%
  • 1–05.8%

Team comparison

StatisticCoventry City FCBrighton & Hove Albion FC
Matches played55
Points per match0.602.00
Goals per match0.203.20
Goals conceded per match2.001.00
Home / away goals scored08
Home / away goals conceded64
Last 5 points310
Last 5 goals scored116
Last 5 goals conceded105
Win percentage20%60%

Coventry City FC recent form

LLLLW

Brighton & Hove Albion FC recent form

WLDWW

Recent form

Coventry City FC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lat Manchester City FC0–1
  • Lvs Hull City AFC0–1
  • Lat Arsenal FC0–3
  • Wat Watford FC4–0
  • Wvs Wrexham AFC3–1

Brighton & Hove Albion FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 9 conceded

  • Dvs Leeds United FC1–1
  • Lat Chelsea FC3–4
  • Wvs Aston Villa FC4–0
  • Lvs Manchester United FC0–3
  • Lat Leeds United FC0–1

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 13 Sept, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 13 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.