Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 13
Chelsea FC vs Crystal Palace FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 2 Dec, 19:30 (GMT)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 13
- Venue
- Stamford Bridge, London, England
United Matchday prediction
Chelsea FC win79%
Draw13%
Crystal Palace FC win9%
- Predicted score
- 3–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 76%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 24%
- BTTS yes
- 58%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 91%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 56%
- BTTS no
- 42%
- Expected goals
- 3.01 – 0.95
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Chelsea FC have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Away defensive numbers work against Crystal Palace FC, who have shipped goals above the Premier League average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Chelsea FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 3–08.7%
- 2–08.7%
- 3–18.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 4–06.6%
- 4–16.2%
- 1–05.8%
- 1–15.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Chelsea FC | Crystal Palace FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.70 |
| Goals per match | 1.90 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Home / away goals scored | 13 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 8 | 11 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 13 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 20% |
Chelsea FC recent form
WWLWL
Crystal Palace FC recent form
WLLLL
Recent form
Chelsea FC
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 4 conceded
- Lat Sunderland AFC0–1
- Wvs Manchester United FC2–0
- Lvs Tottenham Hotspur FC0–2
- Wat Everton FC2–0
- Wvs AFC Bournemouth5–1
Crystal Palace FC
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 13 conceded
- Lvs Liverpool FC1–3
- Lat Tottenham Hotspur FC0–2
- Lvs Newcastle United FC0–2
- Lat Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–5
- Wvs Nottingham Forest FC3–1
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Wed 2 Dec, 19:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 11 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Draw
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.