Premier League
Manchester United FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC
Home
69%
Draw
20%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 52%BTTS: 44%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 6
Chelsea FC vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- Stamford Bridge, London, England
United Matchday prediction
Chelsea FC win49%
Draw20%
AFC Bournemouth win31%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 78%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 22%
- BTTS yes
- 75%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 91%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 58%
- BTTS no
- 25%
- Expected goals
- 2.28 – 1.82
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model rates Chelsea FC's home scoring output above the Premier League average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–17.9%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–16.9%
- 1–26.3%
- 3–16.0%
- 3–25.4%
- 2–04.3%
- 2–34.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Chelsea FC | AFC Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 0% |
Chelsea FC recent form
WWLDL
AFC Bournemouth recent form
LDDDL
Recent form
Chelsea FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 12 conceded
- Lat Brentford FC0–3
- Dvs Hull City AFC2–2
- Lat Arsenal FC1–2
- Wvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC4–3
- Wat Fulham FC3–2
AFC Bournemouth
0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 8 conceded
- Lvs Liverpool FC0–1
- Dvs Brentford FC2–2
- Dat Newcastle United FC2–2
- Dvs Everton FC1–1
- Lat Manchester City FC1–2
Team news
Chelsea FC
- Premier League: 10 things to look out for this weekend
- Transfer rumors, news: Chelsea join race to sign Monaco's Camara
- Lamine Camara: Monaco pull out of selling midfielder to Chelsea in £47m deal after Blues agreed deal for Enzo
- ‘A great feeling’: Mykhailo Mudryk seals loan move from Chelsea to Tottenham
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
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Coventry City FC vs Newcastle United FC
Home
16%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 55%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Leeds United FC vs Manchester United FC
Home
53%
Draw
24%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 51%
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Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace FC
Home
75%
Draw
15%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 67%BTTS: 52%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.