Championship · Matchweek 1

Charlton Athletic FC vs Derby County FC Prediction

United Matchday prediction

Charlton Athletic FC win25%
Draw25%
Derby County FC win50%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Under 2.5 goals
51%
BTTS yes
51%
Over 1.5 goals
74%
Over 3.5 goals
27%
BTTS no
49%
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.59

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Charlton Athletic FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Derby County FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.9%
  • 0111.5%
  • 129.5%
  • 029.2%
  • 107.5%
  • 007.3%
  • 216.2%
  • 135.0%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.