Championship · Matchweek 19

Charlton Athletic FC vs Birmingham City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 (GMT)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 19
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Charlton Athletic FC win13%
Draw23%
Birmingham City FC win64%
Predicted score
0–1
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Under 2.5 goals
57%
BTTS yes
39%
Over 1.5 goals
69%
Over 3.5 goals
22%
BTTS no
61%
Expected goals
0.64 – 1.76

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Charlton Athletic FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. The model credits Birmingham City FC with an above-average away defensive record. Birmingham City FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. Birmingham City FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–116.0%
  • 0–214.0%
  • 1–110.2%
  • 0–09.1%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 0–38.2%
  • 1–05.8%
  • 1–35.3%

Team comparison

StatisticCharlton Athletic FCBirmingham City FC
Matches played1414
Points per match1.002.00
Goals per match0.792.00
Goals conceded per match1.571.00
Home / away goals scored59
Home / away goals conceded66
Last 5 points312
Last 5 goals scored311
Last 5 goals conceded103
Win percentage21%57%

Charlton Athletic FC recent form

LLLLW

Birmingham City FC recent form

WLWWW

Recent form

Charlton Athletic FC

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 10 conceded

  • Wvs Sheffield United FC2–1
  • Lvs Bolton Wanderers FC0–1
  • Lat Middlesbrough FC0–3
  • Lvs Norwich City FC1–3
  • Lat Watford FC0–2

Birmingham City FC

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wvs Swansea City AFC2–1
  • Wvs Millwall FC3–0
  • Wat Lincoln City FC3–1
  • Lat Cardiff City FC0–1
  • Wvs Queens Park Rangers FC3–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 14 November 2026
Last updated: 14 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.