Primeira Liga · Matchweek 5

CF Estrela da Amadora vs FC Famalicão Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 5 Sept, 15:30 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

CF Estrela da Amadora win59%
Draw22%
FC Famalicão win18%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Under 2.5 goals
48%
BTTS yes
51%
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
BTTS no
49%
Expected goals
1.84 – 0.92

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

CF Estrela da Amadora have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Recent results also favour CF Estrela da Amadora, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–011.6%
  • 2–010.7%
  • 1–110.7%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 3–06.6%
  • 0–06.3%
  • 3–16.1%
  • 0–15.8%

Team comparison

StatisticCF Estrela da AmadoraFC Famalicão
Matches played56
Points per match1.601.00
Goals per match2.001.33
Goals conceded per match2.001.00
Home / away goals scored46
Home / away goals conceded53
Last 5 points86
Last 5 goals scored107
Last 5 goals conceded104
Win percentage40%17%

CF Estrela da Amadora recent form

WDWDL

FC Famalicão recent form

LDDDW

Recent form

CF Estrela da Amadora

1W 0D 0L in the last 1 · 3 scored, 2 conceded

  • Wat CD Nacional3–2

FC Famalicão

0W 1D 2L in the last 3 · 1 scored, 3 conceded

  • Dvs Gil Vicente FC0–0
  • Lat CD Santa Clara0–1
  • Lvs CS Marítimo1–2

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Sept, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.