Primeira Liga · Matchweek 5

CD Santa Clara vs Rio Ave FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 6 Sept, 15:30 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

CD Santa Clara win38%
Draw26%
Rio Ave FC win36%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Under 2.5 goals
49%
BTTS yes
55%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Over 3.5 goals
29%
BTTS no
45%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.34

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Rio Ave FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. CD Santa Clara's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–28.2%
  • 0–06.6%
  • 2–06.2%
  • 0–25.9%

Team comparison

StatisticCD Santa ClaraRio Ave FC
Matches played65
Points per match2.000.80
Goals per match1.671.00
Goals conceded per match0.672.40
Home / away goals scored72
Home / away goals conceded25
Last 5 points114
Last 5 goals scored85
Last 5 goals conceded212
Win percentage50%20%

CD Santa Clara recent form

WDWWD

Rio Ave FC recent form

WLLDL

Recent form

CD Santa Clara

1W 2D 0L in the last 3 · 4 scored, 3 conceded

  • Dat FC Alverca1–1
  • Wvs FC Famalicão1–0
  • Dvs CD Nacional2–2

Rio Ave FC

1W 0D 1L in the last 2 · 2 scored, 4 conceded

  • Lvs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–4
  • Wat GD Estoril Praia2–0

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 6 Sept, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 6 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.