Primeira Liga · Matchweek 2

CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 16 Aug, 15:30 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

CD Nacional win41%
Draw20%
GD Estoril Praia win38%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
77%
Under 2.5 goals
23%
BTTS yes
76%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
58%
BTTS no
24%
Expected goals
2.08 – 2.00

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–17.3%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–17.0%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 3–15.1%
  • 3–25.1%
  • 2–34.9%
  • 1–34.7%

Team comparison

StatisticCD NacionalGD Estoril Praia
Matches played76
Points per match0.570.17
Goals per match1.000.33
Goals conceded per match2.141.50
Home / away goals scored51
Home / away goals conceded105
Last 5 points01
Last 5 goals scored32
Last 5 goals conceded137
Win percentage14%0%

CD Nacional recent form

LLLLL

GD Estoril Praia recent form

LLDLL

Recent form

CD Nacional

0W 1D 0L in the last 1 · 2 scored, 2 conceded

  • Dat CD Santa Clara2–2

GD Estoril Praia

No recent completed fixtures on record.

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 16 Aug, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.