Primeira Liga · Matchweek 4

CD Nacional vs CF Estrela da Amadora Prediction

United Matchday prediction

CD Nacional win41%
Draw20%
CF Estrela da Amadora win38%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
77%
Under 2.5 goals
23%
BTTS yes
76%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
58%
BTTS no
24%
Expected goals
2.08 – 2.00

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 217.3%
  • 227.3%
  • 117.0%
  • 127.0%
  • 315.1%
  • 325.1%
  • 234.9%
  • 134.7%

Team comparison

StatisticCD NacionalCF Estrela da Amadora
Matches played10
Points per match1.00
Goals per match2.00
Goals conceded per match2.00
Home / away goals scored00
Home / away goals conceded00
Last 5 points10
Last 5 goals scored20
Last 5 goals conceded20
Win percentage0%

CD Nacional recent form

D

CF Estrela da Amadora recent form

No recent form recorded

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.