Primeira Liga
Sporting Clube de Braga vs Sporting Clube de Portugal
Home
29%
Draw
28%
Away
43%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 4
CD Nacional vs CF Estrela da Amadora Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 30 Aug, 15:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
CD Nacional win51%
Draw24%
CF Estrela da Amadora win26%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 45%
- BTTS yes
- 56%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 78%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 33%
- BTTS no
- 44%
- Expected goals
- 1.72 – 1.16
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model expects fewer away goals given CD Nacional's home defensive numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.3%
- 0–16.5%
- 1–26.5%
- 0–05.6%
- 2–25.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | CD Nacional | CF Estrela da Amadora |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 5 |
| Points per match | 0.57 | 1.60 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.14 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 10 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 0 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 13 | 10 |
| Win percentage | 14% | 40% |
CD Nacional recent form
LLLLL
CF Estrela da Amadora recent form
WDWDL
Recent form
CD Nacional
1W 1D 1L in the last 3 · 4 scored, 3 conceded
- Lat Vitória SC0–1
- Wvs GD Estoril Praia2–0
- Dat CD Santa Clara2–2
CF Estrela da Amadora
No recent completed fixtures on record.
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 30 Aug, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 30 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
49%
Draw
20%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 74%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.