Primeira Liga · Matchweek 2

Casa Pia AC vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 17 Aug, 20:15 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Casa Pia AC win43%
Draw20%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica win37%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
78%
Under 2.5 goals
22%
BTTS yes
76%
Over 1.5 goals
92%
Over 3.5 goals
60%
BTTS no
24%
Expected goals
2.16 – 2.00

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–27.3%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 1–16.7%
  • 1–26.7%
  • 3–15.2%
  • 3–25.2%
  • 2–34.9%
  • 1–34.5%

Team comparison

StatisticCasa Pia ACSport Lisboa e Benfica
Matches played66
Points per match0.672.50
Goals per match0.503.33
Goals conceded per match2.500.83
Home / away goals scored115
Home / away goals conceded123
Last 5 points412
Last 5 goals scored313
Last 5 goals conceded85
Win percentage17%83%

Casa Pia AC recent form

LLDLW

Sport Lisboa e Benfica recent form

WWWWL

Recent form

Casa Pia AC

No recent completed fixtures on record.

Sport Lisboa e Benfica

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat Real Madrid1–2
  • Lvs Real Madrid0–1
  • Wvs Real Madrid4–2
  • Lat Juventus0–2
  • Wvs SSC Napoli2–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Mon 17 Aug, 20:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.