Primeira Liga
Sporting Clube de Braga vs Sporting Clube de Portugal
Home
29%
Draw
28%
Away
43%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 4
Casa Pia AC vs Moreirense FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 30 Aug, 18:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Casa Pia AC win25%
Draw22%
Moreirense FC win53%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 36%
- BTTS yes
- 63%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 84%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 42%
- BTTS no
- 37%
- Expected goals
- 1.32 – 1.99
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Casa Pia AC's home attacking output as weaker than the Primeira Liga baseline. Moreirense FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.6%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–17.3%
- 0–27.2%
- 1–36.3%
- 2–16.3%
- 2–26.3%
- 0–34.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Casa Pia AC | Moreirense FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 6 |
| Points per match | 0.67 | 1.17 |
| Goals per match | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 1 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 12 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 17% | 33% |
Casa Pia AC recent form
LLDLW
Moreirense FC recent form
WLLWD
Recent form
Casa Pia AC
0W 0D 2L in the last 2 · 0 scored, 9 conceded
- Lat Gil Vicente FC0–2
- Lvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica0–7
Moreirense FC
0W 0D 1L in the last 1 · 0 scored, 4 conceded
- Lat FC Arouca0–4
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 30 Aug, 18:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 30 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
49%
Draw
20%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 74%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.