Championship · Matchweek 1

Cardiff City FC vs Wrexham AFC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 17 Aug, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Cardiff City FC win42%
Draw25%
Wrexham AFC win33%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Under 2.5 goals
48%
BTTS yes
56%
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
BTTS no
44%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.28

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–18.2%
  • 1–27.7%
  • 2–06.9%
  • 0–06.4%
  • 2–25.7%

Team comparison

StatisticCardiff City FCWrexham AFC
Matches played88
Points per match0.881.25
Goals per match1.251.13
Goals conceded per match1.501.50
Home / away goals scored74
Home / away goals conceded57
Last 5 points48
Last 5 goals scored56
Last 5 goals conceded78
Win percentage13%25%

Cardiff City FC recent form

LLDLW

Wrexham AFC recent form

WDDLW

Recent form

Cardiff City FC

No recent completed fixtures on record.

Wrexham AFC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dvs Middlesbrough FC2–2
  • Lat Coventry City FC1–3
  • Wat Oxford United FC1–0
  • Wvs Stoke City FC2–0
  • Lat Birmingham City FC0–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.