Championship · Matchweek 12

Cardiff City FC vs Birmingham City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 12
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Cardiff City FC win36%
Draw24%
Birmingham City FC win39%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Under 2.5 goals
42%
BTTS yes
60%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Over 3.5 goals
35%
BTTS no
40%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.53

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Birmingham City FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 0–17.7%
  • 1–07.3%
  • 2–26.3%
  • 0–25.9%
  • 2–05.3%

Team comparison

StatisticCardiff City FCBirmingham City FC
Matches played87
Points per match0.881.43
Goals per match1.251.71
Goals conceded per match1.501.57
Home / away goals scored75
Home / away goals conceded54
Last 5 points46
Last 5 goals scored58
Last 5 goals conceded78
Win percentage13%29%

Cardiff City FC recent form

LLDLW

Birmingham City FC recent form

DDLWD

Recent form

Cardiff City FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Charlton Athletic FC3–1
  • Lat Bolton Wanderers FC0–1
  • Dvs Stoke City FC1–1
  • Lat Portsmouth FC0–2
  • Lat Queens Park Rangers FC1–2

Birmingham City FC

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded

  • Dvs Middlesbrough FC2–2
  • Wat Derby County FC2–1
  • Lat Norwich City FC1–2
  • Dvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC2–2
  • Dvs Southampton FC1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 October 2026
Last updated: 3 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
511
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.7%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.