Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga CF
Home
61%
Draw
24%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 43%BTTS: 42%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 12
CA Osasuna vs Athletic Club Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 8 Nov, 00:00 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
CA Osasuna win28%
Draw32%
Athletic Club win40%
- Predicted score
- 0–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 29%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 71%
- BTTS yes
- 37%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 56%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 12%
- BTTS no
- 63%
- Expected goals
- 0.83 – 1.05
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees CA Osasuna's home attacking output as weaker than the Primera Division baseline. The model credits Athletic Club with an above-average away defensive record. Both defensive records point toward a tighter, lower-scoring fixture. Athletic Club arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–116.1%
- 0–015.3%
- 1–113.3%
- 1–012.7%
- 0–28.4%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–15.5%
- 2–05.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | CA Osasuna | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.22 | 1.29 |
| Goals per match | 1.11 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 0.86 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 2 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 1 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 29% |
CA Osasuna recent form
LLDLW
Athletic Club recent form
WWDDD
Recent form
CA Osasuna
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 12 conceded
- Wvs Real Racing Club de Santander2–0
- Lat Real Betis Balompié2–5
- Dvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1–1
- Lat Atlético Madrid0–4
- Lvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona0–2
Athletic Club
2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 1 conceded
- Dat Valencia CF0–0
- Dvs Deportivo Alavés0–0
- Dvs Elche CF1–1
- Wvs Atlético Madrid3–0
- Wat RC Celta de Vigo2–0
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 17 October 2026
Last updated: 20 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 719
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.8%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.4%
- Exact score
- 10.7%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Racing Club de Santander vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
37%
Draw
23%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 63%BTTS: 64%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Athletic Club vs Getafe CF
Home
58%
Draw
27%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 32%BTTS: 33%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
RC Celta de Vigo vs Real Betis Balompié
Home
47%
Draw
23%
Away
30%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 63%BTTS: 63%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.