Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 4
Burnley FC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 2 Sept, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Burnley FC win36%
Draw23%
Middlesbrough FC win42%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 34%
- BTTS yes
- 67%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 85%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 45%
- BTTS no
- 33%
- Expected goals
- 1.63 – 1.78
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.6%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–17.8%
- 2–27.0%
- 0–15.9%
- 1–05.4%
- 0–25.2%
- 1–35.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Burnley FC | Middlesbrough FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 8 | 7 |
| Points per match | 0.50 | 1.71 |
| Goals per match | 1.13 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.13 | 1.57 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 0% | 43% |
Burnley FC recent form
DLDLD
Middlesbrough FC recent form
DWWDD
Recent form
Burnley FC
0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 11 conceded
- Lat Norwich City FC1–4
- Lat West Bromwich Albion FC1–3
- Dvs West Ham United FC2–2
- Dvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–1
- Lat Arsenal FC0–1
Middlesbrough FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded
- Wvs West Bromwich Albion FC3–1
- Lat Blackburn Rovers FC1–2
- Lat Hull City AFC0–1
- Lat Southampton FC1–2
- Dvs Southampton FC0–0
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 2 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC
Home
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Draw
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Away
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Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
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Draw
23%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.