Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 5
Burnley FC vs Bristol City FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Burnley FC win26%
Draw21%
Bristol City FC win54%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 30%
- BTTS yes
- 68%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 88%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 49%
- BTTS no
- 32%
- Expected goals
- 1.46 – 2.17
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Bristol City FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Bristol City FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.1%
- 1–18.4%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–36.6%
- 0–26.2%
- 2–16.1%
- 0–15.8%
- 2–34.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Burnley FC | Bristol City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 8 | 7 |
| Points per match | 0.50 | 1.86 |
| Goals per match | 1.13 | 1.57 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.13 | 1.43 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 8 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 0% | 57% |
Burnley FC recent form
DLDLD
Bristol City FC recent form
WWLLW
Recent form
Burnley FC
0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 11 conceded
- Dvs Middlesbrough FC1–1
- Lat Norwich City FC1–4
- Lat West Bromwich Albion FC1–3
- Dvs West Ham United FC2–2
- Dvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–1
Bristol City FC
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat Preston North End FC3–1
- Wvs Portsmouth FC2–1
- Dat Birmingham City FC2–2
- Wvs Stoke City FC2–0
- Lat Birmingham City FC1–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Championship
Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC
Home
60%
Draw
21%
Away
18%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC
Home
74%
Draw
14%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 63%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.