Championship · Matchweek 3

Bristol City FC vs Portsmouth FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 29 Aug, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Bristol City FC win32%
Draw22%
Portsmouth FC win47%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
69%
Under 2.5 goals
31%
BTTS yes
69%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
Over 3.5 goals
48%
BTTS no
31%
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.98

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Portsmouth FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Portsmouth FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–18.9%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 2–17.1%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–35.8%
  • 0–15.6%
  • 0–25.5%
  • 2–34.6%

Team comparison

StatisticBristol City FCPortsmouth FC
Matches played76
Points per match1.861.33
Goals per match1.571.33
Goals conceded per match1.431.17
Home / away goals scored34
Home / away goals conceded23
Last 5 points95
Last 5 goals scored75
Last 5 goals conceded76
Win percentage57%33%

Bristol City FC recent form

WWLLW

Portsmouth FC recent form

LLWDD

Recent form

Bristol City FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 10 conceded

  • Dat Birmingham City FC2–2
  • Wvs Stoke City FC2–0
  • Lat Birmingham City FC1–2
  • Dat Southampton FC2–2
  • Lvs Norwich City FC2–4

Portsmouth FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wat Lincoln City FC3–1
  • Dvs Birmingham City FC1–1
  • Wat Stoke City FC3–1
  • Lat Coventry City FC1–5
  • Wvs Leicester City FC1–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 29 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.