Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 12
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Newcastle United FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 29 Nov, 14:05 (GMT)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win83%
Draw11%
Newcastle United FC win6%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 31%
- BTTS yes
- 45%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 87%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 48%
- BTTS no
- 55%
- Expected goals
- 2.93 – 0.65
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Brighton & Hove Albion FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Brighton & Hove Albion FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Brighton & Hove Albion FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.0%
- 3–011.7%
- 4–08.5%
- 1–08.2%
- 2–17.8%
- 3–17.6%
- 4–15.6%
- 1–15.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | Newcastle United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals per match | 2.60 | 1.30 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.70 | 1.60 |
| Home / away goals scored | 15 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 2 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 70% | 30% |
Brighton & Hove Albion FC recent form
WWLWW
Newcastle United FC recent form
LLWLD
Recent form
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 2 conceded
- Wvs Brentford FC2–0
- Wat Manchester City FC1–0
- Lat Liverpool FC0–2
- Wvs Crystal Palace FC5–0
- Wat Sunderland AFC2–0
Newcastle United FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded
- Dat Fulham FC1–1
- Lvs Everton FC0–1
- Wat Crystal Palace FC2–0
- Lvs Aston Villa FC0–1
- Lat Coventry City FC1–4
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 29 Nov, 14:05 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 8 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Premier League
Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 43%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.