Premier League · Matchweek 7

Brentford FC vs Liverpool FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Brentford FC win48%
Draw25%
Liverpool FC win26%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Under 2.5 goals
51%
BTTS yes
52%
Over 1.5 goals
74%
Over 3.5 goals
27%
BTTS no
48%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.08

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Brentford FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Liverpool FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Brentford FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–011.2%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 2–08.7%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 0–07.2%
  • 1–26.5%
  • 2–25.0%

Team comparison

StatisticBrentford FCLiverpool FC
Matches played55
Points per match1.801.80
Goals per match2.001.40
Goals conceded per match0.800.80
Home / away goals scored75
Home / away goals conceded12
Last 5 points99
Last 5 goals scored107
Last 5 goals conceded44
Win percentage40%40%

Brentford FC recent form

WDDDW

Liverpool FC recent form

DDWDW

Recent form

Brentford FC

2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs Chelsea FC3–0
  • Dat AFC Bournemouth2–2
  • Dvs Sunderland AFC1–1
  • Dat Leeds United FC1–1
  • Wvs Tottenham Hotspur FC3–0

Liverpool FC

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wat AFC Bournemouth1–0
  • Dvs Fulham FC0–0
  • Wvs Atlético Madrid2–1
  • Wat Ipswich Town FC2–0
  • Dvs Nottingham Forest FC2–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.