Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 7
Brentford FC vs Liverpool FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Brentford FC win49%
Draw25%
Liverpool FC win26%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 52%
- BTTS yes
- 51%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 73%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 26%
- BTTS no
- 49%
- Expected goals
- 1.54 – 1.05
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Brentford FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Liverpool FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Brentford FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–011.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–08.9%
- 0–17.9%
- 0–07.5%
- 1–26.4%
- 2–24.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Brentford FC | Liverpool FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 10 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 30% | 50% |
Brentford FC recent form
DLDWL
Liverpool FC recent form
LWWLW
Recent form
Brentford FC
1W 4D 0L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 6 conceded
- Dat Aston Villa FC2–2
- Wvs Chelsea FC3–0
- Dat AFC Bournemouth2–2
- Dvs Sunderland AFC1–1
- Dat Leeds United FC1–1
Liverpool FC
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 7 conceded
- Wat LASK Linz6–3
- Lvs Manchester City FC0–3
- Wat AFC Bournemouth1–0
- Dvs Fulham FC0–0
- Wvs Atlético Madrid2–1
Team news
Liverpool FC
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 43%
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Coventry City FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 74%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.