Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 13
Brentford FC vs Arsenal FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 2 Dec, 20:15 (GMT)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 13
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Brentford FC win29%
Draw29%
Arsenal FC win42%
- Predicted score
- 0–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 37%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 63%
- BTTS yes
- 43%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 63%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 17%
- BTTS no
- 57%
- Expected goals
- 0.95 – 1.20
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Arsenal FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Brentford FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Arsenal FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.9%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–011.6%
- 1–011.1%
- 0–28.4%
- 1–28.0%
- 2–16.3%
- 2–05.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Brentford FC | Arsenal FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.70 |
| Goals per match | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 1 |
| Win percentage | 30% | 90% |
Brentford FC recent form
DLDWL
Arsenal FC recent form
WWWWW
Recent form
Brentford FC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded
- Lat Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–2
- Wvs Nottingham Forest FC2–0
- Dat Hull City AFC1–1
- Lvs Liverpool FC1–2
- Dat Aston Villa FC2–2
Arsenal FC
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 3 conceded
- Wvs Hull City AFC1–0
- Wat SK Slavia Praha2–1
- Wat Liverpool FC1–0
- Wvs Everton FC2–0
- Dat Bayern Munich2–2
Team news
Arsenal FC
- England squad announcement: Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta on Ben White recall, Gunners in the England squad and No
- Slavia Prague 1-2 Arsenal: Noni Madueke and Viktor Gyokeres on target as Gunners survive second-half scare
- Papers: Arteta using NASA to help fix Arsenal's injury woes
- Liverpool's unwanted record highlights creativity issue
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Wed 2 Dec, 20:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 11 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Premier League
Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 43%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.