Championship · Matchweek 3

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Lincoln City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 29 Aug, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Bolton Wanderers FC win52%
Draw25%
Lincoln City FC win23%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
BTTS yes
50%
Over 1.5 goals
73%
Over 3.5 goals
26%
BTTS no
50%
Expected goals
1.59 – 0.98

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Bolton Wanderers FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. Lincoln City FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given Bolton Wanderers FC's home defensive numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.2%
  • 1–111.9%
  • 2–09.7%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 0–07.7%
  • 0–17.5%
  • 1–25.8%
  • 3–05.1%

Team comparison

StatisticBolton Wanderers FCLincoln City FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.001.57
Goals per match1.290.86
Goals conceded per match2.000.86
Home / away goals scored33
Home / away goals conceded40
Last 5 points68
Last 5 goals scored94
Last 5 goals conceded133
Win percentage29%43%

Bolton Wanderers FC recent form

LLLWW

Lincoln City FC recent form

DDWWL

Recent form

Bolton Wanderers FC

0W 1D 0L in the last 1 · 0 scored, 0 conceded

  • Dat Queens Park Rangers FC0–0

Lincoln City FC

0W 0D 1L in the last 1 · 1 scored, 3 conceded

  • Lvs Portsmouth FC1–3

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 29 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.