Championship · Matchweek 5

Birmingham City FC vs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 6 Sept, 12:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Birmingham City FC win42%
Draw21%
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win37%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
75%
Under 2.5 goals
25%
BTTS yes
74%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
Over 3.5 goals
56%
BTTS no
26%
Expected goals
2.03 – 1.91

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Away defensive numbers work against Wolverhampton Wanderers FC, who have shipped goals above the Championship average on the road. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–17.6%
  • 1–17.5%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–27.2%
  • 3–15.2%
  • 3–25.0%
  • 2–34.7%
  • 1–34.6%

Team comparison

StatisticBirmingham City FCWolverhampton Wanderers FC
Matches played76
Points per match1.432.17
Goals per match1.712.17
Goals conceded per match1.571.33
Home / away goals scored78
Home / away goals conceded77
Last 5 points610
Last 5 goals scored810
Last 5 goals conceded87
Win percentage29%67%

Birmingham City FC recent form

DDLWD

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC recent form

WLDWW

Recent form

Birmingham City FC

2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dvs Southampton FC1–1
  • Wat Wrexham AFC2–1
  • Dvs Bristol City FC2–2
  • Dat Portsmouth FC1–1
  • Wvs Bristol City FC2–1

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lat West Ham United FC2–4
  • Wvs Stoke City FC4–1
  • Wat Preston North End FC3–1
  • Dat Burnley FC1–1
  • Dvs Fulham FC1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 6 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.