Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 4
Birmingham City FC vs Southampton FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 1 Sept, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Birmingham City FC win42%
Draw21%
Southampton FC win37%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 73%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 27%
- BTTS yes
- 72%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 89%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 52%
- BTTS no
- 28%
- Expected goals
- 1.95 – 1.82
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–18.2%
- 2–18.0%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–27.3%
- 3–15.2%
- 3–24.7%
- 1–34.5%
- 1–04.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Birmingham City FC | Southampton FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 8 |
| Points per match | 1.43 | 1.75 |
| Goals per match | 1.71 | 2.38 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.57 | 1.25 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 29% | 50% |
Birmingham City FC recent form
DDLWD
Southampton FC recent form
DDWWL
Recent form
Birmingham City FC
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat Wrexham AFC2–1
- Dvs Bristol City FC2–2
- Dat Portsmouth FC1–1
- Wvs Bristol City FC2–1
- Wvs Preston North End FC2–1
Southampton FC
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs Millwall FC5–1
- Wvs Stoke City FC3–1
- Lat Watford FC1–2
- Wvs Middlesbrough FC2–1
- Dat Middlesbrough FC0–0
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 1 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
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Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC
Home
60%
Draw
21%
Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC
Home
74%
Draw
14%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 63%
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Championship
Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.