Championship · Matchweek 2

Birmingham City FC vs Bristol City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 22 Aug, 12:30 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Birmingham City FC win56%
Draw24%
Bristol City FC win20%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
BTTS yes
48%
Over 1.5 goals
72%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
BTTS no
52%
Expected goals
1.68 – 0.88

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Birmingham City FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Recent results also favour Birmingham City FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.0%
  • 1–111.4%
  • 2–010.9%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 0–07.8%
  • 0–16.8%
  • 3–06.1%
  • 3–15.4%

Team comparison

StatisticBirmingham City FCBristol City FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.431.86
Goals per match1.711.57
Goals conceded per match1.571.43
Home / away goals scored78
Home / away goals conceded78
Last 5 points69
Last 5 goals scored87
Last 5 goals conceded87
Win percentage29%57%

Birmingham City FC recent form

DDLWD

Bristol City FC recent form

WWLLW

Recent form

Birmingham City FC

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dat Portsmouth FC1–1
  • Wvs Bristol City FC2–1
  • Wvs Preston North End FC2–1
  • Dat Hull City AFC1–1
  • Wvs Wrexham AFC2–0

Bristol City FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wvs Stoke City FC2–0
  • Lat Birmingham City FC1–2
  • Dat Southampton FC2–2
  • Lvs Norwich City FC2–4
  • Dat Queens Park Rangers FC0–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.