Eredivisie
FC Twente '65 vs Willem II Tilburg
Home
91%
Draw
6%
Away
3%
- Predicted score: 4–0Over 2.5: 86%BTTS: 54%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie · Matchweek 15
AZ vs PSV Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Dec, 19:00 (GMT)
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Round
- Matchweek 15
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
AZ win19%
Draw16%
PSV win64%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 82%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 18%
- BTTS yes
- 75%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 94%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 66%
- BTTS no
- 25%
- Expected goals
- 1.60 – 2.89
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model credits PSV with an above-average away defensive record. PSV carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. PSV arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–27.5%
- 1–37.3%
- 2–26.0%
- 2–35.8%
- 1–45.2%
- 1–15.2%
- 0–24.7%
- 0–34.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | AZ | PSV |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.70 | 2.20 |
| Goals per match | 1.80 | 3.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Home / away goals scored | 11 | 17 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 8 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 16 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 10 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 70% |
AZ recent form
LDLLW
PSV recent form
WLDWW
Recent form
AZ
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 10 conceded
- Wvs FC Groningen4–3
- Lat AFC Ajax0–1
- Lvs FC Twente '650–2
- Dat SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden2–2
- Lat Feyenoord Rotterdam0–2
PSV
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 5 conceded
- Wat SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden5–2
- Lvs Club Brugge KV1–2
- Wvs Willem II Tilburg7–0
- Dvs Feyenoord Rotterdam1–1
- Wat FC Porto1–0
Where to watch (UK)
Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Dec, 19:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 14 November 2026
Last updated: 14 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Eredivisie
SBV Excelsior vs Telstar 1963
Home
18%
Draw
20%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie
Telstar 1963 vs FC Groningen
Home
38%
Draw
18%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 2–2Over 2.5: 89%BTTS: 85%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.