Eredivisie · Matchweek 4

AZ vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 29 Aug, 17:45 (BST)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AZ win50%
Draw19%
Go Ahead Eagles win31%
Predicted score
2–2
Over 2.5 goals
84%
Under 2.5 goals
16%
BTTS yes
80%
Over 1.5 goals
94%
Over 3.5 goals
67%
BTTS no
20%
Expected goals
2.56 – 2.04

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects fewer away goals given AZ's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–26.9%
  • 2–16.7%
  • 3–25.9%
  • 3–15.7%
  • 1–25.4%
  • 1–15.2%
  • 2–34.7%
  • 3–34.0%

Team comparison

StatisticAZGo Ahead Eagles
Matches played56
Points per match2.601.17
Goals per match2.402.00
Goals conceded per match1.002.17
Home / away goals scored78
Home / away goals conceded311
Last 5 points136
Last 5 goals scored1210
Last 5 goals conceded511
Win percentage80%17%

AZ recent form

WWWDW

Go Ahead Eagles recent form

WLDDD

Recent form

AZ

1W 4D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wat Fortuna Sittard2–0
  • Dvs NAC Breda3–3
  • Dat Feyenoord Rotterdam1–1
  • Dvs FC Twente '652–2
  • Dat Go Ahead Eagles0–0

Go Ahead Eagles

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 11 conceded

  • Wvs ADO Den Haag3–1
  • Dat Feyenoord Rotterdam2–2
  • Lat NEC1–2
  • Lvs PSV1–4
  • Dat Sparta Rotterdam2–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 29 Aug, 17:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 29 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.