Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 13
Aston Villa FC vs Everton FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 2 Dec, 20:15 (GMT)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 13
- Venue
- Villa Park, Birmingham, England
United Matchday prediction
Aston Villa FC win41%
Draw27%
Everton FC win33%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 54%
- BTTS yes
- 51%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 72%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 25%
- BTTS no
- 49%
- Expected goals
- 1.34 – 1.17
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model credits Everton FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Recent results also favour Aston Villa FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–19.5%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–08.1%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–07.3%
- 0–25.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Aston Villa FC | Everton FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.30 | 1.60 |
| Goals per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.70 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 30% | 40% |
Aston Villa FC recent form
DWWDD
Everton FC recent form
DLLWW
Recent form
Aston Villa FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 10 conceded
- Dat Manchester United FC4–4
- Lat Barcelona0–3
- Dvs Fulham FC1–1
- Wvs Manchester City FC2–1
- Wvs Viking FK3–1
Everton FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded
- Wvs Coventry City FC3–1
- Wat Newcastle United FC1–0
- Lat Arsenal FC0–2
- Lvs Chelsea FC0–2
- Dat Hull City AFC2–2
Team news
Aston Villa FC
Everton FC
- Everton 3-1 Coventry: Thierno Barry gets two goals and an assist in comeback win as Coventry see three VAR inc
- Barry leads Everton comeback win vs Coventry - who suffer triple VAR woe
- Everton: David Moyes tight-lipped over Jack Grealish’s absence from Everton squad
- Everton forced to move EFL Cup tie at short notice
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Wed 2 Dec, 20:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 11 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Home
51%
Draw
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Away
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.