Premier League · Matchweek 6

Aston Villa FC vs Brentford FC Prediction

Sat 10 Oct, 15:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
Competition: Premier League
Round: Matchweek 6
Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham, England

United Matchday prediction

Aston Villa FC win24%

Draw24%

Brentford FC win52%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 51%
Under 2.5 goals: 49%
BTTS yes: 53%

Over 1.5 goals: 76%
Over 3.5 goals: 29%
BTTS no: 47%
Expected goals: 1.05 – 1.68

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Aston Villa FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Premier League baseline. Brentford FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. Brentford FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–111.5%
0–111.0%
1–29.7%
0–29.2%
1–06.8%
0–06.5%
2–16.0%
1–35.4%

Team comparison

Statistic	Aston Villa FC	Brentford FC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.80	1.80
Goals per match	0.80	2.00
Goals conceded per match	1.80	0.80
Home / away goals scored	1	3
Home / away goals conceded	3	3
Last 5 points	4	9
Last 5 goals scored	4	10
Last 5 goals conceded	9	4
Win percentage	20%	40%

Aston Villa FC recent form

LLDLW

Brentford FC recent form

WDDDW

Recent form

Aston Villa FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded

Wat Tottenham Hotspur FC3–2
Lvs Nottingham Forest FC1–2
Wat Club Brugge KV3–2
Dat Hull City AFC0–0
Lvs Arsenal FC0–1

Brentford FC

2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 4 conceded

Wvs Chelsea FC3–0
Dat AFC Bournemouth2–2
Dvs Sunderland AFC1–1
Dat Leeds United FC1–1
Wvs Tottenham Hotspur FC3–0

Team news

Aston Villa FC

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Brentford FC

No tracked team news threads open.

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Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.