Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 12
Arsenal FC vs Manchester City FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 29 Nov, 16:30 (GMT)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- Emirates Stadium, London, England
United Matchday prediction
Arsenal FC win60%
Draw22%
Manchester City FC win18%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 46%
- BTTS yes
- 52%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 78%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 32%
- BTTS no
- 48%
- Expected goals
- 1.91 – 0.94
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Manchester City FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Manchester City FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Recent results also favour Arsenal FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.0%
- 2–010.5%
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.9%
- 3–06.7%
- 3–16.3%
- 0–05.8%
- 0–15.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Arsenal FC | Manchester City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 2.70 | 2.10 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 2.10 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.50 | 1.30 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 10 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 15 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 1 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 90% | 70% |
Arsenal FC recent form
WWWWW
Manchester City FC recent form
WWLLL
Recent form
Arsenal FC
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 3 conceded
- Wvs Hull City AFC1–0
- Wat SK Slavia Praha2–1
- Wat Liverpool FC1–0
- Wvs Everton FC2–0
- Dat Bayern Munich2–2
Manchester City FC
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 9 conceded
- Lat Nottingham Forest FC1–3
- Wat RB Leipzig3–2
- Lvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–1
- Lat Aston Villa FC1–2
- Wvs PAE AEK5–1
Team news
Arsenal FC
- England squad announcement: Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta on Ben White recall, Gunners in the England squad and No
- Slavia Prague 1-2 Arsenal: Noni Madueke and Viktor Gyokeres on target as Gunners survive second-half scare
- Papers: Arteta using NASA to help fix Arsenal's injury woes
- Liverpool's unwanted record highlights creativity issue
Manchester City FC
- Premier League: 10 talking points from the weekend’s action
- Scott Pollock: Oxford City midfielder on cup exit to Leicester
- Cardiff City vs West Ham: Max Kilman's equaliser makes it 3-3 after incredible comeback from The Hammers
- Enzo Maresca believes his Manchester City squad is now 'complete' following the signing of Enzo Fernandez
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 29 Nov, 16:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 8 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.