Premier League · Matchweek 5

AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AFC Bournemouth win32%
Draw24%
Liverpool FC win44%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Under 2.5 goals
43%
BTTS yes
59%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Over 3.5 goals
35%
BTTS no
41%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.62

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Liverpool FC with an above-average away defensive record. Liverpool FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–17.6%
  • 1–06.9%
  • 0–26.7%
  • 2–26.1%
  • 0–05.1%

Team comparison

StatisticAFC BournemouthLiverpool FC
Matches played55
Points per match0.601.80
Goals per match1.201.40
Goals conceded per match1.600.80
Home / away goals scored35
Home / away goals conceded42
Last 5 points39
Last 5 goals scored67
Last 5 goals conceded84
Win percentage0%40%

AFC Bournemouth recent form

LDDDL

Liverpool FC recent form

DDWDW

Recent form

AFC Bournemouth

0W 4D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 8 conceded

  • Dvs Brentford FC2–2
  • Dat Newcastle United FC2–2
  • Dvs Everton FC1–1
  • Lat Manchester City FC1–2
  • Dat Nottingham Forest FC1–1

Liverpool FC

2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 5 conceded

  • Dvs Fulham FC0–0
  • Wvs Atlético Madrid2–1
  • Wat Ipswich Town FC2–0
  • Dvs Nottingham Forest FC2–2
  • Dat Newcastle United FC2–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.