Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 5
AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
AFC Bournemouth win32%
Draw24%
Liverpool FC win44%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 43%
- BTTS yes
- 59%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 80%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 35%
- BTTS no
- 41%
- Expected goals
- 1.35 – 1.62
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model credits Liverpool FC with an above-average away defensive record. Liverpool FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–17.6%
- 1–06.9%
- 0–26.7%
- 2–26.1%
- 0–05.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | AFC Bournemouth | Liverpool FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Goals per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 10 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 50% |
AFC Bournemouth recent form
LWWWW
Liverpool FC recent form
LWWLW
Recent form
AFC Bournemouth
0W 4D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 8 conceded
- Dvs Brentford FC2–2
- Dat Newcastle United FC2–2
- Dvs Everton FC1–1
- Lat Manchester City FC1–2
- Dat Nottingham Forest FC1–1
Liverpool FC
2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 5 conceded
- Dvs Fulham FC0–0
- Wvs Atlético Madrid2–1
- Wat Ipswich Town FC2–0
- Dvs Nottingham Forest FC2–2
- Dat Newcastle United FC2–2
Team news
AFC Bournemouth
Liverpool FC
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Premier League
Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 43%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.