Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 13
AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 2 Dec, 20:15 (GMT)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 13
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
AFC Bournemouth win31%
Draw23%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win46%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS yes
- 63%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 83%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 40%
- BTTS no
- 37%
- Expected goals
- 1.43 – 1.79
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model credits Brighton & Hove Albion FC with an above-average away defensive record. Brighton & Hove Albion FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 1–29.2%
- 2–17.3%
- 0–17.2%
- 2–26.5%
- 0–26.4%
- 1–05.7%
- 1–35.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | AFC Bournemouth | Brighton & Hove Albion FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.50 | 2.20 |
| Goals per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.40 | 0.70 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 11 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 2 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 70% |
AFC Bournemouth recent form
LWWWW
Brighton & Hove Albion FC recent form
WWLWW
Recent form
AFC Bournemouth
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat Ipswich Town FC2–1
- Wvs Leeds United FC2–0
- Wat Manchester United FC3–0
- Wvs Sunderland AFC2–0
- Lat Chelsea FC1–5
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 2 conceded
- Wvs Brentford FC2–0
- Wat Manchester City FC1–0
- Lat Liverpool FC0–2
- Wvs Crystal Palace FC5–0
- Wat Sunderland AFC2–0
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Wed 2 Dec, 20:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 11 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
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Coventry City FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 74%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.