Premier League · Matchweek 4

AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford FC Prediction

Sat 12 Sept, 15:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
Competition: Premier League
Round: Matchweek 4
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AFC Bournemouth win37%

Draw27%

Brentford FC win36%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 46%
Under 2.5 goals: 54%
BTTS yes: 51%

Over 1.5 goals: 72%
Over 3.5 goals: 25%
BTTS no: 49%
Expected goals: 1.26 – 1.25

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Brentford FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–112.8%
1–010.2%
0–110.1%
2–18.1%
0–08.1%
1–28.0%
2–06.4%
0–26.3%

Team comparison

Statistic	AFC Bournemouth	Brentford FC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.60	1.80
Goals per match	1.20	2.00
Goals conceded per match	1.60	0.80
Home / away goals scored	3	3
Home / away goals conceded	4	3
Last 5 points	3	9
Last 5 goals scored	6	10
Last 5 goals conceded	8	4
Win percentage	0%	40%

AFC Bournemouth recent form

LDDDL

Brentford FC recent form

WDDDW

Recent form

AFC Bournemouth

0W 4D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded

Dat Newcastle United FC2–2
Dvs Everton FC1–1
Lat Manchester City FC1–2
Dat Nottingham Forest FC1–1
Dvs Manchester City FC1–1

Brentford FC

1W 4D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 5 conceded

Dvs Sunderland AFC1–1
Dat Leeds United FC1–1
Wvs Tottenham Hotspur FC3–0
Dat Liverpool FC1–1
Dvs Crystal Palace FC2–2

Team news

AFC Bournemouth

All AFC Bournemouth news →

Brentford FC

No tracked team news threads open.

All Brentford FC news →

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.