Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 4
AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
AFC Bournemouth win37%
Draw27%
Brentford FC win36%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 54%
- BTTS yes
- 51%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 72%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 25%
- BTTS no
- 49%
- Expected goals
- 1.26 – 1.25
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Brentford FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–110.1%
- 2–18.1%
- 0–08.1%
- 1–28.0%
- 2–06.4%
- 0–26.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | AFC Bournemouth | Brentford FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Goals per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.40 | 1.10 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 30% |
AFC Bournemouth recent form
LWWWW
Brentford FC recent form
DLDWL
Recent form
AFC Bournemouth
0W 4D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded
- Dat Newcastle United FC2–2
- Dvs Everton FC1–1
- Lat Manchester City FC1–2
- Dat Nottingham Forest FC1–1
- Dvs Manchester City FC1–1
Brentford FC
1W 4D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 5 conceded
- Dvs Sunderland AFC1–1
- Dat Leeds United FC1–1
- Wvs Tottenham Hotspur FC3–0
- Dat Liverpool FC1–1
- Dvs Crystal Palace FC2–2
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.