Eredivisie · Matchweek 2

AFC Ajax vs SC Heerenveen Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 16 Aug, 15:45 (BST)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AFC Ajax win52%
Draw24%
SC Heerenveen win24%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
BTTS yes
52%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Over 3.5 goals
28%
BTTS no
48%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.03

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits SC Heerenveen with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given AFC Ajax's home defensive numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 1–011.3%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–09.4%
  • 0–17.0%
  • 0–06.8%
  • 1–26.0%
  • 3–15.3%

Team comparison

StatisticAFC AjaxSC Heerenveen
Matches played66
Points per match1.831.00
Goals per match3.171.67
Goals conceded per match1.501.50
Home / away goals scored108
Home / away goals conceded84
Last 5 points105
Last 5 goals scored178
Last 5 goals conceded77
Win percentage50%17%

AFC Ajax recent form

WLWWD

SC Heerenveen recent form

LDLDW

Recent form

AFC Ajax

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dat SC Heerenveen0–0
  • Lvs FC Utrecht1–2
  • Dvs PSV2–2
  • Wat NAC Breda2–0
  • Wat Heracles Almelo3–0

SC Heerenveen

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dvs AFC Ajax0–0
  • Lat NAC Breda0–2
  • Wat FC Volendam2–0
  • Wvs Fortuna Sittard2–1
  • Lat AZ0–3

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 16 Aug, 15:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.