Eredivisie · Matchweek 2

AFC Ajax vs SC Heerenveen Prediction

United Matchday prediction

AFC Ajax win52%
Draw24%
SC Heerenveen win24%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
BTTS yes
52%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Over 3.5 goals
28%
BTTS no
48%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.03

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits SC Heerenveen with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given AFC Ajax's home defensive numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.6%
  • 1011.3%
  • 219.6%
  • 209.4%
  • 017.0%
  • 006.8%
  • 126.0%
  • 315.3%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.