Eredivisie · Matchweek 5

AFC Ajax vs PSV Prediction

Sat 5 Sept, 19:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 5 Sept, 19:00 (BST)
Competition: Eredivisie
Round: Matchweek 5
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AFC Ajax win16%

Draw13%

PSV win70%

Predicted score: 1–3
Over 2.5 goals: 92%
Under 2.5 goals: 8%
BTTS yes: 84%

Over 1.5 goals: 98%
Over 3.5 goals: 82%
BTTS no: 16%
Expected goals: 1.94 – 3.76

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits PSV with an above-average away defensive record. PSV carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–35.8%
2–35.7%
1–45.5%
2–45.3%
1–24.7%
2–24.5%
1–54.1%
2–54.0%

Team comparison

Statistic	AFC Ajax	PSV
Matches played	6	5
Points per match	1.83	2.40
Goals per match	3.17	4.00
Goals conceded per match	1.50	1.40
Home / away goals scored	10	11
Home / away goals conceded	8	5
Last 5 points	10	12
Last 5 goals scored	17	20
Last 5 goals conceded	7	7
Win percentage	50%	80%

AFC Ajax recent form

WLWWD

PSV recent form

WWWWL

Recent form

AFC Ajax

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 6 conceded

Wat Telstar 19634–0
Dvs SC Heerenveen2–2
Dat SC Heerenveen0–0
Lvs FC Utrecht1–2
Dvs PSV2–2

PSV

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 22 scored, 6 conceded

Wat FC Utrecht6–1
Wvs FC Groningen5–1
Wvs FC Twente '655–1
Wat Go Ahead Eagles4–1
Dat AFC Ajax2–2

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Sept, 19:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.