Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs SV 07 Elversberg
Home
78%
Draw
13%
Away
9%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 58%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 8
1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
1. FC Union Berlin win47%
Draw21%
1. FC Köln win32%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 26%
- BTTS yes
- 72%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 90%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 53%
- BTTS no
- 28%
- Expected goals
- 2.12 – 1.72
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
1. FC Union Berlin have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.3%
- 1–17.9%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–26.8%
- 3–15.9%
- 3–25.0%
- 2–04.8%
- 1–04.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | 1. FC Union Berlin | 1. FC Köln |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 4 |
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.40 | 2.25 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 17 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 25% |
1. FC Union Berlin recent form
DLLLW
1. FC Köln recent form
WLDL
Recent form
1. FC Union Berlin
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 17 conceded
- Wvs SV 07 Elversberg1–0
- Lat Bayern Munich0–7
- Lvs FC Schalke 041–3
- Lat Bayer 04 Leverkusen0–4
- Dvs Eintracht Frankfurt3–3
1. FC Köln
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 14 conceded
- Lat Hamburger SV1–2
- Dvs SV Werder Bremen1–1
- Lat VfB Stuttgart1–4
- Wvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–2
- Lat Bayern Munich1–5
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 11 October 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 582
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.7%
- BTTS accuracy
- 56.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 57.6%
- Exact score
- 10.7%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV
Home
55%
Draw
22%
Away
23%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 59%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.